| Results
24 people bid Nil
38 people bid 1
10 people bid 2
1
person bid 8
Total responses: 73 |
Analysis by
Crapstorm
The odds of a nil succeeding with these cards is low. Firstly,
the J9 doubleton is hard to cover. Your partner needs (1) a Club
void plus two expendable Spades, (2) A singleton of AKQT plus one
expendable Spade, or (3) two of AKQT (or a chance to reduce his hand
to state (1) or (2) by discarding under void suits). The expendable
Spades are not a concern, since you only have one troublesome Spade.
Neglecting that and the possibility of enemy cover, there is a 57.3%
chance that you will be set in Clubs. This hand has other problems
too. Your partner won't be able to cover the TS 18.2% of the time.
Plus, the unsafe Hearts may cost your partner a Spades or two.
Generally speaking, a nil that is less than 50% likely to succeed
is a bad proposition. Long shots should be taken when you absolutely
need to outbid your opponents, but you are leading by 90 points
here. Bid 1. This hand is not strong enough for 2.
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