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Spades survey #2

The score is tied 445 to 445. Each team has 5 sandbags. The player to your left opens the bidding with 4. Your partner bids 3, then the player to your right bids 2. What would you bid?

Results

4 people bid Nil
2 people bid 1
5 people bid 2
35 people bid 3
14 people bid 4
1 person bid 5

Total responses: 61

Analysis by Crapstorm

When your opponents bid for game, as they have done here, you have three options: 1) set them, 2) outbid them, or 3) bag them. They would have to take eleven tricks total to bag out, so forget that. To set them, you and your partner have to take eight tricks, so scratch that too. The best option is to outbid them. 4 does so. 3 matches their bid, and leaves the determination of the game up to that 1 bag. Whoever gets it wins. Whether you bid 3 or 4, you and your partner have to take seven tricks, otherwise you lose. Therefore, either bid is correct.

There is one other way to outbid your opponents here - bid nil. With five spades, it will require a miracle. To cover you, your partner would need at least five spades, as well as two high clubs. (Would he really have bid 3 if he had such a hand?) The probability of such a thing happening is well below one percent.

Questions or comments? E-mail crapstorm@yahoo.com


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