| Results
4 people bid 1 39 people bid 2 43 people bid 3 4 people
bid 4 1 person bid Nil
Total responses: 91 |
Analysis by
Crapstorm
This is a handful of maybes. The KC might take a trick, unless
the opponents cut it with a Spade or finesse the QC. There is
roughly a 90% chance they won't be able to. In Diamonds, you could
take one trick or more, or you could take none. There is a 54%
chance that each of your opponents have 2 or more Diamonds, but if
they don't, your Diamonds may flop. In Spades, you are almost
guaranteed one trick; it would take a very unlucky split and some
savvy playing by your opponents to deprive you of it. On the other
hand, you could end up with two Spade tricks if the AS and KS come
out at the same time. You also have a mediocre shot at cutting a
Club or Heart trick, given your two doubletons.
Add up all the maybes, and you have just over two and a half
tricks. Look at the score. If the opponents make their bid this
round, you will need a miracle next one. You need to set them. Bid
3. 2 could deprive you of 10 crucial points. |