| Results
1 person bid 5
4 people bid 6
19 people bid 7
14 people
bid 8
Total responses: 38 |
Analysis by
Crapstorm
This is a very strong hand. In the worst case scenario, 3 spades
will not take tricks. This requires that the A, Q and J of Spades
are distributed amongst the opponents in such a way that they can
finesse both the Q and J under your K (eg. to your right is QJ and
to your left is Axx). This is very unlikely (less than 3%), so count
at least 4 tricks for the spades. Your Aces are almost certain to
take one trick each, and your Kings too, given that you have such
length in spades. The one to worry about is the KH, which could
succumb to a QH finesse, but again, this requires an unlikely
distribution and sharp play by your opponents. Bid 8. 7 is
unaggressive.
Some people use bids of 6+ to tell their partners to bid DN. If
this is the case, you may worry about your partner getting dealt the
AS. If your partner bids DN and fails, you net -120. If he makes it,
you earn 280. Given that the odds of him getting the AS is 1 in 3,
the expected outcome of the hand is +147 points.
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